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Forecast for Polar Bear Populations

Preview Scientists document a direct relationship between Arctic sea ice and polar bear survival.
(Amstrup, S., Marcot, B., Douglas, D. USGS Alaska Science Center, Anchorage. Administrative Report)

Scientists document a direct relationship between the extent of sea ice and polar bear survival. Future projected reductions in the extent of annual sea-ice due to global warming may result in the loss of nearly 40% of the Arctic ecosystem’s carrying capacity for polar bears. By mid-century polar bears could disappear from areas that include two thirds of the world's current population. More about climate change can be found in our climate change section.